Sunday, September 28, 2008

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Saturday, September 27, 2008

Wall Street Meltdown

Emergency Edition: Wall Street Meltdown by Martin D. Weiss, Ph.D.

Our nation is suffering through a financial emergency, and I wanted to make sure you get this urgent message now, before it's too late.
Right at this moment, in an attempt to prevent a Wall Street meltdown from beginning as soon as Monday, Congress is locked in a last-ditch effort to produce a bailout package before Sunday evening when Asian markets open.
Whether they succeed in their weekend endeavor or not, three things are crystal clear:
1. The U.S. credit engine is already melting down. In fact, just this week, the all-important market for short-term commercial paper has come to a virtual standstill. This is precisely the market we warned you about. Now it's collapsing. And if this pattern continues, it's likely to drive many corporations that depend on this instant cash into instant bankruptcy.
2. Although a massive federal bailout might help rally the stock market temporarily, it is not — and will not — reverse the credit meltdown.
3. Quite to the contrary, fear is now spreading throughout the banking industry, driving many Americans to pull their money out of the financial system entirely. Yes, it makes sense to shift from weak to strong institutions, and that's rational. But the behavior we're beginning to witness is both irrational and dangerous.
Here's what we are doing.
First, as a follow-up to our white paper submitted to Congress this week, "Proposed $700 Billion Bailout Is Too Little, Too Late to End the Debt Crisis; Too Much, Too Soon for the U.S. Bond Market," we are recommending that Congress focus less on bailing out imprudent institutions and more on fortifying the safety net of individuals caught in failed financial institutions. Some urgent steps include:
Fully fund and staff the Federal Depositors Insurance Corporation (FDIC) to better prepare for the possibility of multiple bank failures occurring at the same time.
Close major gaps in the coverage provided by Securities Investors Protection Corporation (SIPC) to help make sure investors are not denied access to their accounts when they need to liquidate their securities in a falling market.
Seriously consider federal insurance to cover policyholders in failed insurance companies.
Our major point to Congress: These actions cannot wait. Just this week, data from Office of Thrift Supervision (OTS) shows that Washington Mutual suffered panicky withdrawals averaging $2 billion per day over the past eight business days. Now, in order to help prevent the spread of panic among bank, brokerage and insurance company customers, firm and swift action is needed to sew up the holes in our nation's existing safety nets.
Second, we have taken steps to help you find safety. For all the details, we hope you didn't miss out 1-hour educational video, "The X List."
Third, we are doing everything we can to help you go on the offensive to convert this massive crisis into a massive profit opportunity. And with that goal in mind, we've just posted an updated report to our Website with specific instructions.
We expect this massive crisis could come to a head very quickly, and we anticipate a Black October for the stock market. Click here now so you can act before then.
Good luck and God bless!
Martin
About Money and Markets
For more information and archived issues, visit http://www.moneyandmarkets.com
Money and Markets (MaM) is published by Weiss Research, Inc. and written by Martin D. Weiss along with Tony Sagami, Nilus Mattive, Sean Brodrick, Larry Edelson, Michael Larson and Jack Crooks. To avoid conflicts of interest, Weiss Research and its staff do not hold positions in companies recommended in MaM, nor do we accept any compensation for such recommendations. The comments, graphs, forecasts, and indices published in MaM are based upon data whose accuracy is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Performance returns cited are derived from our best estimates but must be considered hypothetical in as much as we do not track the actual prices investors pay or receive. Regular contributors and staff include Kristen Adams, Andrea Baumwald, John Burke, Amber Dakar, Dinesh Kalera, Christina Kern, Red Morgan, Maryellen Murphy, Jennifer Newman-Amos, Adam Shafer, Julie Trudeau and Leslie Underwood.
Attention editors and publishers! Money and Markets issues can be republished. Republished issues MUST include attribution of the author(s) and the following short paragraph:
This investment news is brought to you by Money and Markets. Money and Markets is a free daily investment newsletter from Martin D. Weiss and Weiss Research analysts offering the latest investing news and financial insights for the stock market, including tips and advice on investing in gold, energy and oil. Dr. Weiss is a leader in the fields of investing, interest rates, financial safety and economic forecasting. To view archives or subscribe, visit http://www.moneyandmarkets.com.

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Friday, September 26, 2008

Credit Market Hurricane!

Category 5 Credit Market Hurricane! by Mike Larson
Dear Subscriber,
I'll never forget Hurricane Jeanne, which struck Florida four years ago this week.
My wife, young daughter, and I huddled in the shower of our older house as the battery-powered TV flashed tornado warnings and updates on the storm's 115-MPH winds.
Every now and then, I'd peek out the only unshuttered small window we had, only to see it raining sideways and watch electrical transformers exploding in flashes of blue flame.
And I'll always remember how the walls of the house practically "breathed" — flexing inward and outward ever so slightly — as Jeanne's winds tugged at them.
Scary times, to say the least. It reminds me a lot of what's happening in the credit markets right now, only what we're seeing there is no Category 3 like Jeanne ...
It's the Biggest, Baddest Category 5 Financial Cyclone The Markets Have Ever Seen!
Jeanne was relatively tame compared to the storm hitting the credit market!
Just look at what's happening out there ...
#1. London Interbank Offered Rates (LIBOR, for short) are surging. For instance, three-month U.S. LIBOR jumped 29 basis points (0.29 percentage points) today after rising 27 basis points yesterday. At 3.77%, LIBOR is well above the federal funds rate of 2%.
These are the rates at which banks lend short-term money to each other. The surge in rates shows that banks are hoarding cash, rather than lending it out.
#2. The yield on the 3-month Treasury Bill is plunging — to as little as 0.46% this week from 1.66% two weeks ago. This is the lowest T-Bill rates have been since at least 1954. This shows that investors are fleeing any and all forms of risk, pursuing safety above all else.
#3. A major U.S. money market fund — the Reserve Primary Fund — recently "broke the buck." In other words, losses on Lehman debt forced its net asset value below the $1 level.
Money market funds are supposed to be extremely safe, and breaking the buck is exceedingly rare.
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#4. The TED spread — the difference between the yield on three-month Treasury bills and three-month LIBOR rates — blew out to 326 basis points. That's the highest level I can find, and my Bloomberg data goes back to 1984. Think of this as a risk spread — how much riskier financial institutions think it is to lend money to each other rather than the U.S. government. The fact it's off the charts speaks volumes.
#5. Two-year swap spreads have exploded, hitting 166 basis points at one point this week. This is the highest level in at least a couple of decades. And it's yet ANOTHER sign that financial market players are panicking over the credit quality of their counterparties and the possibility of a full-scale meltdown.
Clearly, the credit market problems Martin and I have been warning about over and over again for the past few years are coming home to roost.
We suggested some ways for Congress to deal with the crisis without busting the U.S.'s own credit and causing counterproductive moves in interest rates. You can read our paper here. It appears that the actual bailout plan is somewhat different, though final details and all the implications of them are still being worked out.
The Biggest Question of All: Will the Bailout Work? That Depends on Your Definition of "Work" ...
Washington's bailout is no sure thing …
First, it may help some banks avoid some additional losses, but it won't help all banks do so.
Depending on what the government pays for these crummy assets going forward, the plan could actually cause even MORE losses.
Plus, the sheer magnitude of bad debt out there is enormous. Even if the government buys some bad paper, plenty more loans will still sour, plenty more banks will see earnings tank, and plenty more banks will fail.
Second, the bailout package won't magically make lenders take on huge risks again.
After all, they've been burned big time. I don't think we'll see the ridiculously easy residential mortgage, commercial mortgage, auto loan, credit card, and leveraged buyout lending that we saw from 2002 through 2007 for a long, long time. I'm talking years, not months or quarters.
Third, the cost of this bailout will be gigantic.
Even before this latest proposal, the U.S. had committed hundreds of billions of dollars to various rescues. That includes more than $25 billion to bail out Bear Stearns, $100 billion each for Fannie and Freddie, and $85 billion for AIG.
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Treasury is also talking about spending at least another $50 billion to backstop money market funds (the ultimate cost is unknown).
Not to be left out, the auto industry looks like it's getting its own $25-billion bailout in the form of government-supported low interest loans.
And of course, the latest package has an initial price tag of up to $700 billion.
All told, we're looking at more than $1 TRILLION in bailouts — and it's not like we have all that money sitting in a bank somewhere. We're a nation that spends much more than it earns, and borrows the rest.
The White House was ALREADY projecting that the 2009 federal deficit would be $482 billion. Now, with the additional bailouts announced and proposed, we could be looking at tacking another $1 trillion — or more — onto that number. This would push the budget deficit so far into the red, we'll all be swimming in crimson ink.
To fund those deficits, we're going to have to borrow an ASTRONOMICAL amount of money. The Treasury just held a record $34 billion sale of 2-year Treasury Notes. That was followed by a $24 billion sale of 5-year Notes, the biggest such sale in more than five years. Those numbers will only go higher with time.
In fact, Congress is raising the federal debt ceiling to a whopping $11.3 TRILLION to account for this additional borrowing.
The likely impact: All the additional supply will drive bond prices LOWER and interest rates HIGHER. Heck, 10-year Treasury Note yields have already surged from around 3.4% to almost 3.9%. That will blunt the impact of the bailout by driving financing costs higher on all loans whose rates are benchmarked to Treasuries.
Last, this crisis long ago stopped being just a financial one.
This bailout bill won't prevent the "real" economy from sliding into recession. Factories are closing. Layoffs are rising. Spending is slowing. And the downturn that began in the U.S. is spreading to other economies overseas.
Heck, just yesterday we learned that durable goods orders plunged 4.5% in August — more than double the decline economists were expecting.
Meanwhile, initial jobless claims soared to 493,000, the highest since the period right after the 9/11 terrorist attacks. Some of that gain stemmed from Hurricanes Ike and Gustav. But the trend higher is clear, and a sign of real economic weakness.
So I still think you have to be cautious with your investing strategy ...
I suggest keeping the lion's share of your money in safe havens such as Treasuries or Treasury-only money funds.
And for your more speculative funds, I think it's a good time to target some of the stocks that will get hit the hardest as the post-bailout euphoria wears off. For more on my favorite way to do that, click here.
Until next time,
Mike
P.S. With this credit market storm hitting in full force, I'll be giving you frequent updates on my blog. Be sure and check in regularly!
About Money and Markets
For more information and archived issues, visit http://www.moneyandmarkets.com
Money and Markets (MaM) is published by Weiss Research, Inc. and written by Martin D. Weiss along with Tony Sagami, Nilus Mattive, Sean Brodrick, Larry Edelson, Michael Larson and Jack Crooks. To avoid conflicts of interest, Weiss Research and its staff do not hold positions in companies recommended in MaM, nor do we accept any compensation for such recommendations. The comments, graphs, forecasts, and indices published in MaM are based upon data whose accuracy is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Performance returns cited are derived from our best estimates but must be considered hypothetical in as much as we do not track the actual prices investors pay or receive. Regular contributors and staff include Kristen Adams, Andrea Baumwald, John Burke, Amber Dakar, Dinesh Kalera, Christina Kern, Red Morgan, Maryellen Murphy, Jennifer Newman-Amos, Adam Shafer, Julie Trudeau and Leslie Underwood.
Attention editors and publishers! Money and Markets issues can be republished. Republished issues MUST include attribution of the author(s) and the following short paragraph:
This investment news is brought to you by Money and Markets. Money and Markets is a free daily investment newsletter from Martin D. Weiss and Weiss Research analysts offering the latest investing news and financial insights for the stock market, including tips and advice on investing in gold, energy and oil. Dr. Weiss is a leader in the fields of investing, interest rates, financial safety and economic forecasting. To view archives or subscribe, visit http://www.moneyandmarkets.com.
From time to time, Money and Markets may have information from

Wednesday, September 24, 2008

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Sunday, September 21, 2008

Warning: Nasty Surprises Coming Next Week

Warning: Nasty Surprises Coming Next Week by Martin D. Weiss, Ph.D.

America's $47-trillion bubble of debt has burst.
America's $180-trillion balloon of derivatives has popped.
And all the president's men cannot put them back together again.
Last year, they tried three different mortgage work-out plans. This year, they tried a massive economic stimulus package. They resorted to a myriad of unprecedented lending facilities. They even bailed out Bear Stearns, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and AIG. Each attempt was more radical than the previous. And each attempt failed miserably.
Now, appearing before the American people at the White House Rose Garden, they've declared that they're going to try again, this time with an even bigger, more ambitious plan: A structure to buy up the bad debts of sinking banks ... a guarantee for money market funds ... a prohibition on certain short selling activities.
And with all this, they say, they're finally going to "restore confidence" and "end the debt crisis."
But there are a few, not-so-small dangers they're not talking about plus a few nasty surprises, shocks and wake-up calls coming as early as next week:
The fear factor: Their actions are so much more extreme than anyone expected ... they're inadvertently sending the message to smart investors and speculators around the world that the crisis must also be far more extreme than anyone expected. Rather than reducing uncertainty, the president's men are creating more fear.
The selling stampede: These investors are more anxious than ever to sell and get the heck away from risk. They're waiting for the knee-jerk market rally to end. And they're getting ready to sell with both hands.
Leading lenders to water: Millions of Americans continue to default on their mortgages. Hundreds of millions of homes continue to fall in value. So the risk of lending today to consumers is astronomical.
With this backdrop, Mr. Bernanke and Mr. Paulson can pump all the money they want into sick and dying lending institutions, but there's nothing they can do to get the lenders to drink — to lend that money to high-risk borrowers.
No free lunch: Where do the Treasury, the Fed and Congress get the money? Contrary to popular myth, they cannot just "print" it out of thin air. They have to either borrow the funds from investors or raise it from taxpayers.
$1-trillion tab: Just for the rescues and bailouts announced to date, the most conservative estimate of the bill is $1 trillion. The federal budget deficit is already projected to be well over $400 billion. These new measures could easily double and triple that deficit.
What's Next?
On Friday, in a special edition of Money and Markets, I answered your urgent questions on Washington's latest moves. Now, let me ask you a couple of questions:
Q: What happens when the government tries to borrow a massive sum like $1 trillion? You know the answer: They automatically drive up interest rates ... crowd out other borrowers like corporations, consumers or local governments ... and make the entire debt crisis far worse.
Q: What happens when the government tries to raise the money with higher taxes? You know that answer too: Tax hikes can only crush the already-mangled consumer ... and make the recession far worse.
And This Is Supposed to Be Their Master Plan to Save America from More Misery?
Not only won't it work ... but to the degree that it does have some impact, that impact can only backfire.
Already, on Friday, the interest rate that the U.S. Treasury must pay to borrow 10-year money surged by 33.2 basis points — one of the greatest single-day rises in history and an early omen of far sharper rate rises in the future.
Also on Friday, gold resumed its surge — a warning to all governments that seek to defy the power of free markets.
These dramatic moves in interest rates and gold are telling you that if there ever was a time to position yourself for protection and profit from the next phase of the debt crisis, this is it.
Our recommendation is unchanged: As we've told you from the outset, every time the government attempts to fight this debt crisis spurs a temporary rally, you have a golden opportunity to sell any vulnerable stocks you may still have.
Plus, it's also the very best possible opportunity to position yourself for huge profits as the crisis continues to spread.
Your next urgent step: View our 1-hour video "Plague to Pandemic" before we take it offline early next week.
It shows you what you must do to protect your wealth and multiply your money ... as America's debt pyramid continues to collapse ... and as Washington continues to stumble in its efforts to put it back together.
Indeed, Washington's latest effort to goose up stock prices gives you a unique window of opportunity to find true safety and position yourself for profits before the next big decline.
But never forget: As soon as investors around the world start selling en masse, that window is going to snap shut. So turn up your computer speakers and click this link for the video before it's too late.
Good luck and God bless!
Martin
About Money and Markets
For more information and archived issues, visit http://www.moneyandmarkets.com
Money and Markets (MaM) is published by Weiss Research, Inc. and written by Martin D. Weiss along with Tony Sagami, Nilus Mattive, Sean Brodrick, Larry Edelson, Michael Larson and Jack Crooks. To avoid conflicts of interest, Weiss Research and its staff do not hold positions in companies recommended in MaM, nor do we accept any compensation for such recommendations. The comments, graphs, forecasts, and indices published in MaM are based upon data whose accuracy is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Performance returns cited are derived from our best estimates but must be considered hypothetical in as much as we do not track the actual prices investors pay or receive. Regular contributors and staff include Kristen Adams, Andrea Baumwald, John Burke, Amber Dakar, Dinesh Kalera, Christina Kern, Red Morgan, Maryellen Murphy, Jennifer Newman-Amos, Adam Shafer, Julie Trudeau and Leslie Underwood.
Attention editors and publishers! Money and Markets issues can be republished. Republished issues MUST include attribution of the author(s) and the following short paragraph:
This investment news is brought to you by Money and Markets. Money and Markets is a free daily investment newsletter from Martin D. Weiss and Weiss Research analysts offering the latest investing news and financial insights for the stock market, including tips and advice on investing in gold, energy and oil. Dr. Weiss is a leader in the fields of investing, interest rates, financial safety and economic forecasting. To view archives or subscribe, visit http://www.moneyandmarkets.com.

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Friday, September 19, 2008

I Have Seen the Enemy, and He is CDS

I Have Seen the Enemy, and He is CDS by Mike Larson

It's been quite the eventful week on the bailout front, eh?
The Treasury and Federal Reserve drew the line at Lehman Brothers, allowing the fourth-largest broker in the U.S. to file for bankruptcy.
Then a couple days later, the Fed backtracked and arranged an $85 billion bailout of American International Group. The deal gives AIG a two-year loan at a punitive interest rate of 11.5%, and grants the Fed a 79.9% stake in the insurance firm. The idea is to keep AIG afloat while it sells assets to raise money.
Personally, this is just more evidence that no one seems to know how deep this rabbit hole of losses goes. Every time one troubled financial institution gets saved or fails, another troubled one pops up somewhere else.
As I've been discussing for a long time, crummy residential mortgages ... troubled commercial mortgages ... and all kinds of other souring loans are causing a huge chunk of the problems in the banking and brokerage industry. But in the case of AIG, something else is at work. It's an obscure kind of contract that, behind the scenes, is wreaking havoc throughout the financial industry.
And I want to talk about these "CDS" — or Credit Default Swaps — today.
How Credit Insurance Works
I'm sure you know how traditional insurance works. After all, you have some combination of homeowners insurance, life insurance, auto insurance, and maybe even a policy on an RV, a boat, or a motorcycle.
You pay a monthly, semi-annual, or annual premium to an insurance company. And the company invests that money to generate returns. If a catastrophe strikes — you get in a car crash, your house burns down, or you die — the insurance company pays you or your heirs a lump sum of money.
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It's a pretty straightforward business.
But in the past few years, many Wall Street firms, hedge funds, and companies like AIG plunged headlong into the Wild West World of CDS.
CDS operate like insurance on a bond or other security. Let's say you're a portfolio manager who owns $100 million in XYZ Corp. bonds. You read the paper, and you see that the industry XYZ is in is faltering, with sales declining and profits falling.
As a result, you might be concerned about the possibility that XYZ will default on the bonds you're holding. But for one reason or another, you don't want to sell your bonds and move on. So instead, you go into the market and buy CDS to protect you against the possibility of default.
You — the credit protection buyer — would pay periodic premiums (just like you and I do on life or car insurance) to a credit protection seller. If XYZ does NOT default, then the seller just collects his premiums and makes a decent return. If XYZ does default, then the seller either takes the bonds off your hands, paying you face value (regardless of where they're trading), or he pays you a cash settlement that makes you whole.
Either way, you as the buyer are protected from catastrophic loss — just like a homeowner is protected from catastrophe by his policy when his home burns down.
The Flaws in the System
Sounds good, right? But here are the problems ...
First, CDS aren't highly regulated like the traditional insurance market is at the state level. In fact, the CDS market isn't really regulated at all. As we alerted our Safe Money Report readers way back in a November 2006 gala issue on derivatives ...
"Complacency is now unprecedented and regulators are asleep at the switch. The Securities and Exchange Commission says it has no direct supervision of trading in credit derivatives. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission also says it isn't responsible. The International Swaps and Derivatives Association (ISDA) says the industry can policy itself. We're not so sure."
Second, the CDS market exploded in size over the past several years. According to the British Bankers Association, the CDS market expanded from just $180 billion in 1996 to a stunning $20 trillion a decade later. That's a 111-fold expansion in this esoteric, opaque market. And by all accounts, it continued to grow LAST year as well — to a whopping $57.9 TRILLION, according to the Bank for International Settlements.
Third, the CDS market morphed into a vehicle for massive speculation on corporate credit rather than a way to hedge downside risk. Investors started buying CDS on companies with worsening credit — expecting those contracts to rise in value — and selling CDS on companies with improving credit — expecting to record a gain as those contracts declined in value.
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Fourth, the quality of counterparties in the CDS market deteriorated substantially. What do I mean? When you bought your last homeowners or life insurance policy, you probably checked the credit rating of the company selling that policy. After all, what good is insurance if the company standing behind it can't make good on claims?
The problem is that more and more CDS were being bought and sold by hedge funds and other thinly capitalized companies during the boom days. This excerpt from a recent Minyanville column pretty much sums up the problem:
"A hedge fund trader once told me that they insured/sold 50 times their capital in CDS with the counterparty being a very large, well-known investment bank.
"When I asked him if he was worried about that kind of leverage, he responded by saying that is the bank's problem because if he is wrong about writing all these insurance policies (in the form of CDS), they can only lose their investment capital in the fund."
Comforting, eh?
The Fallout is Spreading
Exposure to the CDS market brought AIG to its knees.
So how does AIG fit into all this?
Well, it sold protection on a mind-boggling $441 billion of fixed income securities. $441 billion! According to Bloomberg, almost $58 billion of those contracts referenced securities tied to subprime mortgages. That's what really brought AIG to its knees — the exposure to the CDS market.
Who else has massive exposure to credit derivatives?
According to a Fitch Ratings report from last year, the top five counterparties on CDS contracts (as of 2006) were:
Morgan Stanley,
Goldman Sachs,
JPMorgan Chase,
Deutsche Bank, and
ABN Amro.
It's impossible to know exactly how these institutions are positioned, how those rankings have changed since then, and so on. What we do know is that this garbage paper is spread throughout the system, that the underlying securities that CDS insure are plunging in value, and that the financial tally from this whole mess is rising month in and month out.
If you needed yet ANOTHER reason to remain skeptical of the financial industry's fortunes, the CDS market is it. Stay safe!
Until next time,
Mike
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About Money and Markets
For more information and archived issues, visit http://www.moneyandmarkets.com
Money and Markets (MaM) is published by Weiss Research, Inc. and written by Martin D. Weiss along with Tony Sagami, Nilus Mattive, Sean Brodrick, Larry Edelson, Michael Larson and Jack Crooks. To avoid conflicts of interest, Weiss Research and its staff do not hold positions in companies recommended in MaM, nor do we accept any compensation for such recommendations. The comments, graphs, forecasts, and indices published in MaM are based upon data whose accuracy is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Performance returns cited are derived from our best estimates but must be considered hypothetical in as much as we do not track the actual prices investors pay or receive. Regular contributors and staff include Kristen Adams, Andrea Baumwald, John Burke, Amber Dakar, Dinesh Kalera, Christina Kern, Red Morgan, Maryellen Murphy, Jennifer Newman-Amos, Adam Shafer, Julie Trudeau and Leslie Underwood.
Attention editors and publishers! Money and Markets issues can be republished. Republished issues MUST include attribution of the author(s) and the following short paragraph:
This investment news is brought to you by Money and Markets. Money and Markets is a free daily investment newsletter from Martin D. Weiss and Weiss Research analysts offering the latest investing news and financial insights for the stock market, including tips and advice on investing in gold, energy and oil. Dr. Weiss is a leader in the fields of investing, interest rates, financial safety and economic forecasting. To view archives or subscribe, visit http://www.moneyandmarkets.com.

Thursday, September 18, 2008

Increase Your Gold Holdings Immediately!

Increase Your Gold Holdings Immediately! by Larry Edelson

Quite frankly — anyone who doesn't own gold in this environment has lost their marbles.
Consider the following ...
— The U.S. economy is experiencing its worst financial crisis since the Great Depression.
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have failed — the largest financial failures ever seen in this country. And the U.S. Treasury has guaranteed their $5.2 trillion of debt. Lehman Brothers has failed. Merrill Lynch has had to be sold off to help stop its bleeding.
The airline industry is broke. The big three auto manufacturers are all but officially bankrupt. And more woes are certainly coming.
Lehman Brothers goes belly up!
— The U.S. dollar has lost 33% of its value in the last few years, AND IT IS probably GOING TO LOSE A LOT MORE.
How can it not decline in value? The Federal Reserve is now accepting as collateral everything from investment-grade bonds ... to mortgages ... and even common stock from failing institutions in exchange for lending (printing) up money and loaning it out.
That means the Federal Reserve's once pristine balance sheet — the assets behind the dollar — is now being massively diluted.
Just a little over a year ago nearly 100% of the Fed's balance sheet was invested in U.S. Treasury securities. Today, more than 40% of the Fed's balance sheet is invested in assets and securities that would otherwise be labeled junk in the private sector.
And keep in mind the dollar's 33% loss in purchasing power occurred BEFORE the recent dilution of the Fed's balance sheet.
But it's not just the Federal Reserve whose balance sheet is deteriorating. So is the U.S. Treasury's.
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Our national Treasury is now on the hook for $5.2 trillion in Fannie and Freddie mortgage bonds. Not to mention the existing $9.6 trillion in national debt.
If just 10% of those mortgages go bad, the Treasury will take a $500 billion loss. If 20% go bad (not an unreasonable scenario), it will take a ONE TRILLION DOLLAR LOSS.
And since the Treasury is guaranteeing those mortgage bonds, and therefore must fund any losses on them — it will have to issue U.S. treasury bonds back to the Fed so the Fed can print the money to pay the Treasury's creditors. This includes hundreds of billions of dollars owed to foreign investors.
Oh, and let's not forget, the Federal Reserve will charge the Treasury interest on the money it prints.
So I ask you now: How can the dollar not go down? Other than an occasional short-term bounce, the value of the buck is destined to decline much further.
More ...
— Real interest rates remain negative, below the rate of inflation, and they will remain negative for some time.
In other words, it's cheaper to borrow dollars and speculate with them than it is with just about any other currency in the world.
In other words, negative real interest rates are bearish for the dollar. And when you hold dollars, you're losing out to inflation.
Period.
I haven't even begun to tell you the real nightmares for the U.S. dollar. I haven't even touched upon the $50 trillion in contingent liabilities in Social Security, Medicare, government pensions, money the FDIC will need, and more.
And there is no way, no how that any of these debts, liabilities, potential losses will ever be covered without a massive, ongoing devaluation of the U.S. dollar.
So why would you NOT want to own gold in this environment?
Gold is the only true form of money.
Gold is the only true form of money there is. It is no one else's liability. It has no board of directors manipulating its value. It has preserved its purchasing power for over 5,000 years of civilization. It has outperformed every paper currency on the planet.
Given all of the above, and more, I am now officially putting out an emergency buy signal in gold.
— If you don't own any gold, I urge you to buy some now.
— If you do own gold, I suggest you buy more, immediately!
The precious yellow metal — your vehicle to survive financially in the years ahead — recently fell back to major support at the $735 level.
It has since rallied back to $785. I believe the pullback I've been warning you about is now over.
But even if I'm wrong, and by some crazy fluke, the price of gold falls back to major long-term support at the $600 level, it would not be that big a deal.
Because I know that paper dollars are NOT where I want my money.
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And because I have absolutely no doubt whatsoever that gold will ultimately reach at least $2,270 an ounce, and perhaps even higher.
I now suggest you seriously consider holding as much as 25% of your net worth in gold.
Here are the four best ways, and my suggested allocation would be one-fourth of your total liquid funds for gold going into each ...
1. Gold Bullion: I prefer the one- and five-ounce gold ingots available at most reputable gold dealers. Store in your bank's safety deposit box, or at home in a safe that's securely bolted to the floor.
2. The SPDR Gold Trust (GLD). This fund allows you to invest in an ETF that owns the physical gold for you, but without the storage hassles. Each share of the GLD equals 1/10 of an ounce of gold.
3. Gold stock mutual funds: Consider spreading this fourth of your gold funds as evenly as possible amongst three of my favorite funds: Tocqueville Gold Fund (TGLDX) ... U.S. Global Investors World Precious Minerals Fund (UNWPX) ... and the U.S. Global Investors Gold and Precious Metals Shares (USERX).
4. Top-notch gold mining shares. This fourth is best suited for more accurate timing. See my Real Wealth Report for specific buy and sell recommendations.
Again, I suggest you allocate 25% of your net worth to gold holdings immediately. Do not wait.
Best wishes,
Larry
P.S. To get all of my specific gold recommendations, subscribe to my Real Wealth Report for just $99 a year. I'll let you know when and what to buy the moment I pull the trigger!
About Money and Markets
For more information and archived issues, visit http://www.moneyandmarkets.com
Money and Markets (MaM) is published by Weiss Research, Inc. and written by Martin D. Weiss along with Tony Sagami, Nilus Mattive, Sean Brodrick, Larry Edelson, Michael Larson and Jack Crooks. To avoid conflicts of interest, Weiss Research and its staff do not hold positions in companies recommended in MaM, nor do we accept any compensation for such recommendations. The comments, graphs, forecasts, and indices published in MaM are based upon data whose accuracy is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Performance returns cited are derived from our best estimates but must be considered hypothetical in as much as we do not track the actual prices investors pay or receive. Regular contributors and staff include Kristen Adams, Andrea Baumwald, John Burke, Amber Dakar, Dinesh Kalera, Christina Kern, Red Morgan, Maryellen Murphy, Jennifer Newman-Amos, Adam Shafer, Julie Trudeau and Leslie Underwood.
Attention editors and publishers! Money and Markets issues can be republished. Republished issues MUST include attribution of the author(s) and the following short paragraph:
This investment news is brought to you by Money and Markets. Money and Markets is a free daily investment newsletter from Martin D. Weiss and Weiss Research analysts offering the latest investing news and financial insights for the stock market, including tips and advice on investing in gold, energy and oil. Dr. Weiss is a leader in the fields of investing, interest rates, financial safety and economic forecasting. To view archives or subscribe, visit http://www.moneyandmarkets.com.

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Wednesday, September 17, 2008

Global Margin Call

Global Margin Call Pushing Oil Prices Lower ... by Sean Brodrick

The commodity correction continues. And it's getting more painful by the minute as big trading houses like Lehman and Merrill Lynch go belly up or are forced into mergers. I think we're seeing a margin call on a global scale.
The good news is it should bring incredible opportunities for long-term investors. The bad news is we could see a lot more pain before this is over.
A "margin call" is when an investment, bought with borrowed money, decreases in value past a certain point, and an investor either has to put up more money or sell the investment. And we're seeing margin calls as Lehman and others liquidate their trading books.
What's more, we're seeing margin calls in oil.
Speculators pushing prices down
Now, here's where I eat some crow. Back when speculators were first accused of running up oil prices, I didn't believe it was possible. And the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission concluded that the speculators weren't at fault.
I could find many fundamental reasons for oil to run up over $120 per barrel. And while oil looked bubblicious in the short-term at $150, I thought that any short-term sell-off would collide with the inexorable supply/demand squeeze in global oil supplies.
But oil has pulled back so quickly and so far from its peak, we can't ignore the reality that speculators are a big part of the market. And just as they pushed oil higher on the run up, they're helping push oil lower on the way down.
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Lehman traded the commodity markets — for example, you may have heard of the Lehman Brothers Commodity Index. The London Metal Exchange, the Liffe commodities exchange, and Intercontinental Exchange Inc.'s ICE Futures suspended Lehman on Monday. Funds and traders that knew Lehman was going to implode probably used what they knew would be a big dump of Lehman's crude oil futures.
There are other factors driving oil down, too, and I'll get to those. But there could be many more shoes to drop. After all, Lehman dealt in derivatives of many types, and the global derivatives market is worth about $455 TRILLION.
So around the world, funds and traders suddenly have to lower their exposure to these trades — taking a pre-emptive margin call before they receive a real one. And that unwinding of trades hammered many commodities, including oil, lower.
But a continued global margin call isn't the only thing that could drive oil down. There are four other forces as well ...
Downward Force #1: Impact from Hurricane Ike wasn't as bad as feared
There are a couple of rigs floating adrift in the Gulf of Mexico and oil slicks off the Texas coast. But it seems most of the rigs and refineries were spared. While 13 refineries in Texas shutdown 3.64 million barrels a day of refining capacity, there didn't seem to be much physical damage. And that capacity will come back online as power is restored.
However, it may be a week or more before all the refineries are running again. Those refinery outages could mean that gasoline prices could go higher even as oil prices go lower, because refineries offline mean less demand for oil and less production of gasoline.
Remember that many rigs had stopped working and refineries were already shut for Hurricane Gustav. And according to the Energy Information Administration (EIA), gasoline inventories the week that Hurricane Gustav hit were the lowest they had been in eight years — 187.9 million barrels, or about a 21-day supply.
Hurricane Ike destroyed 10 production platforms.
As for the rigs, the Associated Press quotes Lars Herbst, regional director for the U.S. Minerals Management Service (MMS), as saying that at least 10 production platforms were destroyed by the storm. That's not too bad, though, when compared to the 44 platforms destroyed by Katrina three years ago or the 64 wrecked by Hurricane Rita. And if refineries are offline, we won't notice the drop in supply ... for awhile, anyway.
Downward Force #2: Saudi Arabia is keeping the pumps wide open The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) just trimmed its forecast for global oil consumption. And at its recent meeting, the cartel voted to cut production by 520,000 barrels a day. But shortly after the meeting, Saudi Arabia told its customers that it will supply all the oil they need.
0il Minister Ali al-Naimi announced that Saudi Arabia will supply all the oil that customers need.
Why are the Saudis doing this? After all, it wasn't too long ago that the Saudi oil minister said oil prices should range between $100 and $150. Perhaps the Saudis want to head off increased development of alternative energy. Another theory, put forward by Middle East Strategy at Harvard, is that the Saudis want to have a calming effect on the U.S. economy in the run-up to the Presidential election, because they fear what would happen if the U.S. withdraws from Iraq.
Whatever their reasons, higher Saudi production will weigh on the market going forward ... probably at least into November.
Downward Force #3: The Strategic Petroleum Reserve is being tapped
On Monday, the U.S. Department of Energy said that it had released 939,000 barrels of oil from its Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) after shortages caused by Hurricanes Gustav and Ike. And on Tuesday, it approved another request for 1 million barrels. This seems like a small amount — and it is — but the psychological effect can be enormous.
After all, the SPR holds 707 million barrels of oil, and it can release 4.4 million barrels of oil per day. This reassures traders that the market will be well supplied ... and is another force driving prices lower.
Downward Force #4: U.S. demand is down
In the first half of 2008, U.S. petroleum demand dropped by 930,000 barrels per day, according to the EIA. Higher prices at the pump forced consumers to change their driving habits ... though big draws in gasoline in recent weeks indicate that people were driving more again as prices went lower.
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Longer-Term, Get Bullish
The forces I've talked about so far are driving oil prices lower ... but they're all shorter-term. Let me show you three of the longer-term forces that are bound to drop-kick prices higher.
Upward Force #1: Developing economies are booming
We keep hearing about a global recession. While it's true that developed countries are slowing down, developing countries are being driven more and more by internal growth ... in other words, building out their infrastructure. Plus their consumers want to buy lots of stuff and drive cars.
China is expected to grow 10% this year ... India is still managing 7.5% growth ... Indonesia is growing at 6% year over year, Thailand at 5%, and 4% or more in Taiwan and South Korea.
Closer to home, Latin America is still chugging along. Brazil is growing at 4%. And many analysts are waving the "buy" signal over that country ... Mexico is growing at only 2.8% in 2008 (dragged down by the U.S.) but expects to grow at 3% in 2009 ... Argentina is growing at 6.5% a year and Uruguay's economy is growing at 16.3% — the fastest pace in two decades.
The Chinese don't own a lot of cars ... yet.
Why is growth in these emerging markets important? Because these are the countries where consumers don't own a lot of cars ... yet. China has the same ratio of car ownership that the U.S. had back in 1915. As these emerging markets grow, they're going to use a lot more oil and gasoline.
While the pace of global oil demand has slowed down, it's still going up. Estimates vary depending on the source you use. But the U.S. Energy Information Administration projects that global oil consumption should rise by about 970,000 barrels per day (bpd) in the second half of 2008 and by another 920,000 bpd in 2009.
Developed countries may be using less oil. But the emerging markets are using every drop we don't ... and then some!
Upward Force #2: Oil producers consume more of their own product
It's a good thing that Saudi Arabia is producing more oil, because it keeps using more. Saudi Arabia's oil consumption is expected to rise 37% by 2018. And they're not the only ones. In the Middle East, total oil use went from 8.2 million barrels per day in 2001 to 10.6 million bpd in 2007 and will probably rise to 11.8 million bpd by 2012.
Result: According to the EIA, net exports from the world's top oil producers are declining year over year and that decline is accelerating — from a 1.1% drop in 2006 to a 2.5% drop last year.
And I recently told you about the catastrophic decline at Mexico's supergiant Cantarell oil field. Just wait until other supergiants around the world — which have been pumping for decades — start their own precipitous declines.
Upward Force #3: Lower prices will lead to shuttered production
I saw an estimate from one oil firm that claimed it needed oil at $80 a barrel to support pumping oil from its new offshore wells.
Then, last week, French energy giant Total said its Canadian oil sands project needs $90 a barrel oil just to achieve its goal of a 12.5% internal rate of return, while its wells off the shores of Angola need $70 a barrel. And Suncor Chief Executive Rick George has told the press that he believes the oil sands industry requires oil at $75-$80 a barrel to keep attracting investment and moving projects forward.
In fact, there is a lot of marginal oil production that could be shut off rather quickly if prices go too much lower.
Coming Up — The Market Disconnect
Since the Saudis aren't defending the price of oil, it could go lower in the short term. But it's hard for me to figure out where the "real" price of oil should be. We saw oil overshoot on the way up ... and now I think it's overshooting on the way down. Indeed, on Monday, as prices in the futures market plummeted, customers who were taking physical delivery paid a premium of $1.80 to $2.00 a barrel.
This shows you that the physical market could be getting detached from the futures market. We've seen it in other commodities already.
Silver is dirt-cheap, but try buying silver Eagles (1-ounce coins) without paying a hefty premium. Gold is way off its highs. Yet in many places you simply can't buy U.S. gold eagles without paying outrageous premiums. But we're told that there isn't a "real" shortage of gold ... they're just "rationing" them until supplies improve.
So are you really going to be surprised if the price of oil keeps going lower, and you keep paying more and more at the gas pump?
In the longer term, Peak Oil will come home to roost, and fundamentals that once drove the price of oil from $10 to $100 will drive it to $150 (again), $200 and beyond.
And a severe supply squeeze means that, when the next leg up comes, it could be fast enough to make your head spin.
How You Can Profit
In the short term, oil and oil stocks look to be headed lower. If you want to profit from that move, you can check out the UltraShort Oil & Gas fund (DUG). Just remember to exit when oil turns around.
I don't know when the next rally in oil will come. I do know that many great oil exploration and production stocks are trading at lower prices and earnings multiples now than they were when oil was at $75 a year ago. When oil prices go higher, these super-cheap stocks should be snatched up quickly.
You can find a lot of those stocks in the iShares Dow Jones US Oil & Gas Exploration and Production ETF (IEO) which holds a bunch of companies that should do very well as the price of oil climbs higher — companies like Anadarko Petroleum, Apache, EOG Resources and more.
Yours for trading profits,
Sean
P.S. Want to share your thoughts on the economy — or any other investment topic — with our entire Money and Markets audience? Then check out the Editor-For-A-Day contest that we're running right now!
About Money and Markets
For more information and archived issues, visit http://www.moneyandmarkets.com
Money and Markets (MaM) is published by Weiss Research, Inc. and written by Martin D. Weiss along with Tony Sagami, Nilus Mattive, Sean Brodrick, Larry Edelson, Michael Larson and Jack Crooks. To avoid conflicts of interest, Weiss Research and its staff do not hold positions in companies recommended in MaM, nor do we accept any compensation for such recommendations. The comments, graphs, forecasts, and indices published in MaM are based upon data whose accuracy is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Performance returns cited are derived from our best estimates but must be considered hypothetical in as much as we do not track the actual prices investors pay or receive. Regular contributors and staff include Kristen Adams, Andrea Baumwald, John Burke, Amber Dakar, Dinesh Kalera, Christina Kern, Red Morgan, Maryellen Murphy, Jennifer Newman-Amos, Adam Shafer, Julie Trudeau and Leslie Underwood.
Attention editors and publishers! Money and Markets issues can be republished. Republished issues MUST include attribution of the author(s) and the following short paragraph:
This investment news is brought to you by Money and Markets. Money and Markets is a free daily investment newsletter from Martin D. Weiss and Weiss Research analysts offering the latest investing news and financial insights for the stock market, including tips and advice on investing in gold, energy and oil. Dr. Weiss is a leader in the fields of investing, interest rates, financial safety and economic forecasting. To view archives or subscribe, visit http://www.moneyandmarkets.com.

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Tuesday, September 16, 2008

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If you want to start this line of business to get a good profit, then it's advisable to use only high-quality pictures of your pets. In fact, these Web surfers who purchase dog pictures are quite keen on getting the best that their money can buy. You need a good quality, high-end camera to take pictures of your pets. You might want to invest on the best camera in the market, instead of using a common digital camera to start you off.
When taking pictures, you need to pay attention to the various details that comes with photography. Decide on the setting, the background, as well as the poses you want your pet to have that will be a hit on the market. If you are having trouble taking photos on your own, then you might want to ask someone to entertain your pet while you take their photos.
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You might want to edit your pictures using photo-editing software on your PC in order to get the best quality of dog photos before setting them up on the Web. Check out the brightness, possible noise that will destroy the quality of the image, and so on.
You might want to keep a raw copy of the image, since some of these individuals prefer to purchase an un-edited image so that they can apply the necessary changes that they will deem necessary to be used on their publication.
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Now that you have all the pictures you need for your online business, you need to come up with a site design and layout that will attract the interest of your customers. Since it's quite easy to save a picture from an online page, you might want to learn how to disable this feature to stop people from stealing your photos.
Put up a thumbnail picture of your dog picture to showcase them to your potential customers. Turn them into links so that your visitors can see the full-size photo to see if it's worthy enough to be purchased or not. Again, put in the necessary security feature to avoid photo theft. Vary the sizes that you offer to give them a wide selection to choose from Click here for Income From Photography. Let this guide motivate you to unlock the money making power of your mind and your camera... http://make200aday.biz
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Monday, September 15, 2008

Dow plunges 504! Here's what's next

Dow plunges 504! Here's what's next ... by Martin D. Weiss, Ph.D. and Mike Larson
Dear Subscriber,
With the Dow plunging 504 points today ... with Lehman dead and Merrill sold off ... with AIG on the brink and Washington Mutual not far behind ... you'll soon hear the Wall Street pundits arguing that this is the "climactic capitulation" that will end the decline. Don't fall for it!
In reality ...
The Dow is still not far from its all-time peaks, with a lot further to fall. Our forecast is unchanged: 7,200 on the Dow.
The recession is still in its early stages. Expect outright contractions in GDP in the coming quarters, and despite a lot of talk and some action, don't count on the government to turn it around any time soon.
America's oversized debt pyramid has just begun to wind down. It could take several years to clean up the mess.
We warned you this crisis was coming and it came. We named the names of the companies that would fail and they did. We told you how to avoid the dangers. We even recommended inverse ETFs that have been surging thanks to the market's plunge.
Our message for you today is this: If you ignored our warnings before, it's not too late to act now. Sure, you may have missed the first phase of this debacle. But that's water under the bridge. Looking forward, all that matters is what you do right now, before the next, deeper phases.
Here's What's Happening and What We See Coming Next ...
The financial failures you've seen so far are just the tip of the iceberg ...
Lehman Brothers is merely the first to fail. Expect more in the weeks ahead, possibly starting with those that have the smallest capital cushion.
Bank of America is making a horrendous mistake. It's already bogged down with its earlier purchase of Countrywide Financial, a classic pig in the poke. Now, on top of that bad move, it's taking on all the debts and risks of Merrill Lynch.
AIG, the biggest insurance firm in the country, is desperately trying to shore up its balance sheet after suffering $18.5 billion in losses over the past three quarters. It's planning to dump assets, raise capital, and asking the Federal Reserve for a $40 billion bridge loan. Don't be surprised if AIG is taken over by insurance regulators in the days ahead. And don't be shocked if more insurance company failures follow.
Look out for bigger financial troubles in the banking industry, including not only the names that are in the news, like Washington Mutual and Wachovia, but also at Citicorp, HSBC ... and yes ... Bank of America.
Late this afternoon, Treasury Secretary Paulson tried to inspire some confidence. But he failed as the shares in most of these companies plunged: Washington Mutual, down 27%. Wachovia down, 25%. AIG down 61%, the worst single-day stock decline for any major insurer in memory.
The market and the economy WILL recover eventually, but only after the nation's bad debts are liquidated, a process that will be extremely painful and traumatic.
Here's What to Do ...
First, if you have shares that we have not recommended, go online or call your broker to sell HALF immediately, at the market. Then stand by for our next alert regarding the second half.
Second, put all the proceeds away in the safest, most liquid investment in the world: Treasury bills or Treasury-only money market funds like Capital Preservation, the Weiss Treasury-Only Money Market Fund or any of the several we have recommended repeatedly here in Money and Markets.
Third, for the stocks that you hold (including those we recommended), if you have not bought inverse ETFs or put options to help protect you against losses, get ready to do so at the very next opportunity.
Fourth, for a hard-hitting, detailed forecast of the NEXT phase of this crisis, be sure to watch the recording of our 1-hour video webcast, "Plague to Pandemic," which we just posted on our Website this afternoon. Just turn up your computer speakers and click here now.
Never before in our lifetimes has there been a more urgent need for this guidance! And never before have we been more concerned about investors who might miss it! Be sure to take advantage of it now while you still can.
Best wishes,
Martin and Mike
About Money and Markets
For more information and archived issues, visit http://www.moneyandmarkets.com
Money and Markets (MaM) is published by Weiss Research, Inc. and written by Martin D. Weiss along with Tony Sagami, Nilus Mattive, Sean Brodrick, Larry Edelson, Michael Larson and Jack Crooks. To avoid conflicts of interest, Weiss Research and its staff do not hold positions in companies recommended in MaM, nor do we accept any compensation for such recommendations. The comments, graphs, forecasts, and indices published in MaM are based upon data whose accuracy is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Performance returns cited are derived from our best estimates but must be considered hypothetical in as much as we do not track the actual prices investors pay or receive. Regular contributors and staff include Kristen Adams, Andrea Baumwald, John Burke, Amber Dakar, Dinesh Kalera, Christina Kern, Red Morgan, Maryellen Murphy, Jennifer Newman-Amos, Adam Shafer, Julie Trudeau and Leslie Underwood.
Attention editors and publishers! Money and Markets issues can be republished. Republished issues MUST include attribution of the author(s) and the following short paragraph:
This investment news is brought to you by Money and Markets. Money and Markets is a free daily investment newsletter from Martin D. Weiss and Weiss Research analysts offering the latest investing news and financial insights for the stock market, including tips and advice on investing in gold, energy and oil. Dr. Weiss is a leader in the fields of investing, interest rates, financial safety and economic forecasting. To view archives or subscribe, visit http://www.moneyandmarkets.com.

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Sunday, September 14, 2008

Income From Photography

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Do you know that you can earn a good profit by selling your puppy pictures online? Well, it's true. Rather than hiring their own photographer to take cute pictures of our canine pets, magazines and publishers are now combing the Internet for puppy pictures that they can use on their publication. Interested?
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If you want to start this line of business to get a good profit, then it's advisable to use only high-quality pictures of your pets. In fact, these Web surfers who purchase dog pictures are quite keen on getting the best that their money can buy. You need a good quality, high-end camera to take pictures of your pets. You might want to invest on the best camera in the market, instead of using a common digital camera to start you off.
When taking pictures, you need to pay attention to the various details that comes with photography. Decide on the setting, the background, as well as the poses you want your pet to have that will be a hit on the market. If you are having trouble taking photos on your own, then you might want to ask someone to entertain your pet while you take their photos.
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You might want to edit your pictures using photo-editing software on your PC in order to get the best quality of dog photos before setting them up on the Web. Check out the brightness, possible noise that will destroy the quality of the image, and so on.
You might want to keep a raw copy of the image, since some of these individuals prefer to purchase an un-edited image so that they can apply the necessary changes that they will deem necessary to be used on their publication.
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Now that you have all the pictures you need for your online business, you need to come up with a site design and layout that will attract the interest of your customers. Since it's quite easy to save a picture from an online page, you might want to learn how to disable this feature to stop people from stealing your photos.
Put up a thumbnail picture of your dog picture to showcase them to your potential customers. Turn them into links so that your visitors can see the full-size photo to see if it's worthy enough to be purchased or not. Again, put in the necessary security feature to avoid photo theft. Vary the sizes that you offer to give them a wide selection to choose from Click here for Income From Photography. Let this guide motivate you to unlock the money making power of your mind and your camera... http://make200aday.biz
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